YEARLY HIGH
1.3879 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.7901 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.1315 MDL

2021 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 26, valuing the pair at 1.3879. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.7901.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5978 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.8125 to the December average rate of 1.3186, the exchange rate registered a net change of 62.29% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 1.3879 was down 0.74% compared to the 2020 peak of 1.3982, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 6,940 MDL
2020 Average 5,138 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 3,950 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,989.10 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

1.3937
0.7596
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.9738, compared to 1.2893 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3154 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.9738
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2893

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 0.4210 MDL (High: 1.2869 / Low: 0.8659). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0258 MDL (High: 0.8398 / Low: 0.8140).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4210
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0258

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0790 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0790

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2021: 1.3056) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.8408), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4649 (+55.29%).

2021 Avg (November) 1.3056
2020 Avg (November) 0.8408

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.8236 0.7901 0.8125
February 0.8398 0.8140 0.8225
March 0.8796 0.8246 0.8363
April 1.2869 0.8659 1.1049
May 1.2019 1.0667 1.1242
June 1.2235 1.0631 1.1425
July 1.3411 1.0987 1.2189
August 1.3763 1.1563 1.2896
September 1.3794 1.2575 1.3409
October 1.3693 1.1698 1.2619
November 1.3879 1.1845 1.3056
December 1.3859 1.1767 1.3186