2017 SCR to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1.5488 MDL

YEARLY LOW

1.2133 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

1.3599 MDL

2017 SCR to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the SCR to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 1.5488. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 1.2133.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3355 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.4998 to the December average rate of 1.2334, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.76% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1.5488 was down 3.20% compared to the 2016 peak of 1.6000, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,744 MDL

2016 Average 7,495 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 6,067 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,677.49 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1.5265

1.2068

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.4332, compared to 1.2867 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1465 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.4332

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2867

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was March, with a trading range of 0.1200 MDL (High: 1.5436 / Low: 1.4236). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0366 MDL (High: 1.3184 / Low: 1.2818).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1200

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0366

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0640 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0640

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 1.4998) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1.5544), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0546 (-3.51%).

2017 Avg (January) 1.4998

2016 Avg (January) 1.5544

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1.5488	1.4696	1.4998
February	1.5119	1.4617	1.4828
March	1.5436	1.4236	1.4620
April	1.4754	1.4077	1.4334
May	1.4164	1.3326	1.3695
June	1.3867	1.3093	1.3517
July	1.3813	1.3097	1.3377
August	1.3538	1.2980	1.3161
September	1.3184	1.2818	1.2965
October	1.3194	1.2303	1.2714
November	1.3274	1.2285	1.2648
December	1.2820	1.2133	1.2334