2013 SCR to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6898 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.6071 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6616 MOP

2013 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 25, valuing the pair at 0.6898. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 0.6071.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0827 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6130 to the December average rate of 0.6623, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.6898 was up 11.42% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.6191, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,449 MOP

2012 Average 2,915 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 3,036 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 413.44 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.6891

0.6061

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6595, compared to 0.6637 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0042 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6595

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6637

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0439 MOP (High: 0.6898 / Low: 0.6459). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0056 MOP (High: 0.6680 / Low: 0.6624).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0439

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0056

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0075 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0075

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 0.6752) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.5673), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1079 (+19.02%).

2013 Avg (March) 0.6752

2012 Avg (March) 0.5673

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6245	0.6071	0.6130
February	0.6508	0.6248	0.6335
March	0.6898	0.6459	0.6752
April	0.6863	0.6778	0.6822
May	0.6840	0.6738	0.6790
June	0.6773	0.6705	0.6742
July	0.6750	0.6604	0.6667
August	0.6680	0.6624	0.6655
September	0.6687	0.6585	0.6634
October	0.6654	0.6565	0.6623
November	0.6664	0.6537	0.6622
December	0.6647	0.6585	0.6623