2016 SCR to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6330 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.5594 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6027 MOP

2016 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 0.6330. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 0.5594.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0735 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6130 to the December average rate of 0.5971, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.6330 was down 3.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.6540, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,165 MOP

2015 Average 3,003 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 2,797 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 367.72 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.6148

0.5930

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6032, compared to 0.6022 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0009 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6032

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6022

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 0.0643 MOP (High: 0.6238 / Low: 0.5594). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0121 MOP (High: 0.6092 / Low: 0.5972).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0643

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0121

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0142 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0142

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.6108) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.6029), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0079 (+1.30%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.6108

2015 Avg (June) 0.6029

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6273	0.5869	0.6130
February	0.6238	0.5594	0.5988
March	0.6171	0.5889	0.6013
April	0.6251	0.5667	0.5948
May	0.6136	0.5785	0.6003
June	0.6330	0.5963	0.6108
July	0.6289	0.5937	0.6074
August	0.6112	0.5930	0.6037
September	0.6092	0.5972	0.6031
October	0.6129	0.5963	0.6031
November	0.6085	0.5923	0.5991
December	0.6073	0.5892	0.5971