2014 SCR to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6699 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.5593 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6302 MOP

2014 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 28, valuing the pair at 0.6699. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 11, dropping to 0.5593.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1107 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.6621 to the December average rate of 0.5716, the exchange rate registered a net change of -13.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.6699 was down 2.88% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.6898, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,350 MOP

2013 Average 3,309 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 2,796 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 553.31 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.6721

0.5528

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.6577, compared to 0.6027 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0550 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.6577

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6027

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 0.0470 MOP (High: 0.6091 / Low: 0.5622). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0049 MOP (High: 0.5643 / Low: 0.5594).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0470

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0244 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0244

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2014: 0.6615) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.6822), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0207 (-3.03%).

2014 Avg (April) 0.6615

2013 Avg (April) 0.6822

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6653	0.6572	0.6621
February	0.6617	0.6504	0.6584
March	0.6659	0.6536	0.6586
April	0.6699	0.6493	0.6615
May	0.6664	0.6373	0.6546
June	0.6588	0.6455	0.6508
July	0.6511	0.6459	0.6489
August	0.6494	0.6152	0.6352
September	0.6186	0.6068	0.6111
October	0.6091	0.5622	0.5866
November	0.5643	0.5594	0.5628
December	0.6002	0.5593	0.5716