YEARLY HIGH
0.6143 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.5280 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5824 MOP

2026 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 3, valuing the pair at 0.6143. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 0.5280.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0863 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5711 to the December average rate of 0.5963, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.6143 was up 2.59% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.5988, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,072 MOP
2025 Average 2,807 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,640 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 431.68 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.5994
0.5623
JanuMarcMayJuly

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5784, compared to 0.5944 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0160 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5784
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5944

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 0.0789 MOP (High: 0.6127 / Low: 0.5338). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MOP (High: 0.5963 / Low: 0.5963).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0789
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0130 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0130

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 0.5905) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.5619), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0286 (+5.10%).

2026 Avg (June) 0.5905
2025 Avg (June) 0.5619

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6020 0.5328 0.5711
February 0.6127 0.5338 0.5828
March 0.6027 0.5280 0.5697
April 0.5906 0.5305 0.5654
May 0.5949 0.5873 0.5911
June 0.6143 0.5742 0.5905
July 0.6060 0.5551 0.5926
August 0.5963 0.5963 0.5963