YEARLY HIGH
0.5988 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.5259 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5615 MOP

2025 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 0.5988. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 0.5259.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0729 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5578 to the December average rate of 0.5575, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.06% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.5988 was down 4.44% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.6266, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,994 MOP
2024 Average 2,940 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,629 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 364.43 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.5815
0.5482
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5596, compared to 0.5633 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0037 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5596
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5633

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was December, with a trading range of 0.0709 MOP (High: 0.5968 / Low: 0.5259). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0050 MOP (High: 0.5682 / Low: 0.5632).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0709
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0050

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0212 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0212

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2025: 0.5787) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.5830), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0043 (-0.75%).

2025 Avg (November) 0.5787
2024 Avg (November) 0.5830

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.5665 0.5286 0.5578
February 0.5620 0.5337 0.5557
March 0.5632 0.5473 0.5577
April 0.5626 0.5534 0.5589
May 0.5682 0.5632 0.5657
June 0.5744 0.5478 0.5619
July 0.5746 0.5520 0.5676
August 0.5724 0.5289 0.5599
September 0.5670 0.5262 0.5510
October 0.5902 0.5290 0.5652
November 0.5988 0.5293 0.5787
December 0.5968 0.5259 0.5575