YEARLY HIGH
0.6358 MOP
YEARLY LOW
0.5352 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.5956 MOP

2022 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 0.6358. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.5352.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1006 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5836 to the December average rate of 0.6004, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 0.6358 was up 0.97% compared to the 2021 peak of 0.6297, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,179 MOP
2021 Average 2,570 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 2,676 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 503.02 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

0.6198
0.5535
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5862, compared to 0.6050 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0188 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5862
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6050

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was January, with a trading range of 0.0813 MOP (High: 0.6165 / Low: 0.5352). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0044 MOP (High: 0.5615 / Low: 0.5570).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0813
March Spread (Stable) ±0.0044

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0282 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0282

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2022: 0.6028) against the same month in 2021 (average: 0.6108), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0080 (-1.31%).

2022 Avg (September) 0.6028
2021 Avg (September) 0.6108

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.6165 0.5352 0.5836
February 0.6188 0.5540 0.5873
March 0.5615 0.5570 0.5591
April 0.6213 0.5572 0.5691
May 0.6342 0.5698 0.6143
June 0.6312 0.5640 0.6040
July 0.6317 0.5667 0.6100
August 0.6321 0.5840 0.6097
September 0.6358 0.5639 0.6028
October 0.6218 0.5840 0.6056
November 0.6316 0.5824 0.6018
December 0.6207 0.5665 0.6004