2020 SCR to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6360 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.3759 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.4756 MOP

2020 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 0.6360. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 0.3759.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2601 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5861 to the December average rate of 0.3767, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.72% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.6360 was down 2.31% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.6510, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,180 MOP

2019 Average 2,950 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 1,880 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,300.32 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.6070

0.3558

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5270, compared to 0.4241 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1029 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5270

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.4241

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.1274 MOP (High: 0.5828 / Low: 0.4554). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0027 MOP (High: 0.4464 / Low: 0.4437).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1274

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0027

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0937 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0937

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 0.5852) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.5903), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0051 (-0.87%).

2020 Avg (March) 0.5852

2019 Avg (March) 0.5903

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6244	0.5824	0.5861
February	0.6041	0.5820	0.5861
March	0.6360	0.5601	0.5852
April	0.5828	0.4554	0.4914
May	0.4962	0.4413	0.4591
June	0.4750	0.4491	0.4543
July	0.4539	0.4456	0.4521
August	0.4490	0.4314	0.4469
September	0.4464	0.4437	0.4447
October	0.4441	0.4132	0.4320
November	0.4132	0.3836	0.3922
December	0.3838	0.3759	0.3767