2018 SCR to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6072 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.5614 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.5929 MOP

2018 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 5, valuing the pair at 0.6072. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 27, dropping to 0.5614.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0459 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5788 to the December average rate of 0.5893, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.6072 was down 1.49% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.6164, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,036 MOP

2017 Average 2,955 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 2,807 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 229.37 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.6020

0.5767

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5934, compared to 0.5923 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0011 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5934

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.5923

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was September, with a trading range of 0.0335 MOP (High: 0.5949 / Low: 0.5614). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0028 MOP (High: 0.5955 / Low: 0.5927).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0335

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0028

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.0032 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 0.5920) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.5944), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0024 (-0.41%).

2018 Avg (February) 0.5920

2017 Avg (February) 0.5944

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.5887	0.5688	0.5788
February	0.6072	0.5751	0.5920
March	0.6010	0.5723	0.5919
April	0.6014	0.5877	0.5999
May	0.6025	0.5758	0.5993
June	0.6020	0.5962	0.5983
July	0.5986	0.5950	0.5967
August	0.5955	0.5927	0.5947
September	0.5949	0.5614	0.5915
October	0.5938	0.5812	0.5914
November	0.5918	0.5855	0.5904
December	0.5935	0.5784	0.5893