2015 SCR to MOP Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.6540 MOP

YEARLY LOW

0.5627 MOP

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.6004 MOP

2015 SCR to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SCR to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 0.6540. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 11, dropping to 0.5627.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0913 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.5746 to the December average rate of 0.6240, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.6540 was down 2.37% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.6699, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 3,270 MOP

2014 Average 3,150 MOP

Yearly Trough Low 2,814 MOP

Transaction Impact: A difference of 456.66 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.6294

0.5645

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.5856, compared to 0.6151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0295 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.5856

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.6151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was December, with a trading range of 0.0566 MOP (High: 0.6540 / Low: 0.5974). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0158 MOP (High: 0.5964 / Low: 0.5805).

December Spread (Volatile) ±0.0566

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0158

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 10 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0047 points.

Longest Streak 10 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0047

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2015: 0.6240) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.5716), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0524 (+9.17%).

2015 Avg (December) 0.6240

2014 Avg (December) 0.5716

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.6076	0.5627	0.5746
February	0.5831	0.5633	0.5699
March	0.5971	0.5690	0.5838
April	0.5964	0.5805	0.5872
May	0.6100	0.5854	0.5955
June	0.6171	0.5960	0.6029
July	0.6208	0.5933	0.6085
August	0.6243	0.5979	0.6100
September	0.6270	0.5920	0.6122
October	0.6284	0.5917	0.6134
November	0.6398	0.5998	0.6225
December	0.6540	0.5974	0.6240