2011 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1731.4306 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1232.9393 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1443.1680 UGX

2011 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 2, valuing the pair at 1731.4306. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 1232.9393.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 498.4913 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1251.9008 to the December average rate of 1412.1910, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.80% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 1731.4306 was up 38.12% compared to the 2010 peak of 1253.5899, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,657,153 UGX

2010 Average 5,660,550 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,164,697 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,492,456.39 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

1725.3520

1208.8598

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1311.4481, compared to 1574.8879 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 263.4398 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1311.4481

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1574.8879

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 178.3788 UGX (High: 1547.4497 / Low: 1369.0709). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.0815 UGX (High: 1305.1311 / Low: 1285.0496).

June Spread (Volatile) ±178.3788

March Spread (Stable) ±20.0815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 124.4672 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -124.4672

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 1675.1666) against the same month in 2010 (average: 1158.6985), the exchange rate shifted by +516.4681 (+44.57%).

2011 Avg (September) 1675.1666

2010 Avg (September) 1158.6985

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1290.0975	1232.9393	1251.9008
February	1286.1668	1242.5366	1266.2093
March	1305.1311	1285.0496	1292.2010
April	1339.3827	1265.9211	1295.5679
May	1364.1674	1339.3827	1353.5257
June	1547.4497	1369.0709	1409.2839
July	1616.2490	1476.4611	1537.3671
August	1728.4459	1623.1809	1682.3110
September	1731.4306	1638.6871	1675.1666
October	1679.4426	1531.7418	1633.3795
November	1563.0262	1444.3216	1508.9122
December	1470.4902	1349.7511	1412.1910