YEARLY HIGH
1670.8809 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1520.0113 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1582.8313 UGX

2022 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 6, valuing the pair at 1670.8809. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 3, dropping to 1520.0113.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 150.8697 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1550.7958 to the December average rate of 1571.4110, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.33% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 1670.8809 was up 2.01% compared to the 2021 peak of 1637.9514, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,354,405 UGX
2021 Average 7,915,355 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,600,056 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 754,348.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

1649.1957
1541.7390
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1570.6886, compared to 1594.9740 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 24.2854 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1570.6886
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1594.9740

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 122.8273 UGX (High: 1642.8386 / Low: 1520.0113). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 18.3777 UGX (High: 1559.7530 / Low: 1541.3754).

May Spread (Volatile) ±122.8273
January Spread (Stable) ±18.3777

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 37.7890 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -37.7890

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 1640.2410) against the same month in 2021 (average: 1562.8471), the exchange rate shifted by +77.3939 (+4.95%).

2022 Avg (August) 1640.2410
2021 Avg (August) 1562.8471

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1559.7530 1541.3754 1550.7958
February 1561.0368 1535.5127 1550.6937
March 1605.5618 1547.1600 1586.6018
April 1591.0218 1537.2341 1562.5172
May 1642.8386 1520.0113 1562.1877
June 1649.0264 1593.9142 1611.3356
July 1659.6908 1581.0061 1612.9704
August 1670.8809 1610.1183 1640.2410
September 1618.8719 1583.2630 1602.4520
October 1587.4466 1543.2435 1569.2296
November 1587.1076 1539.7863 1573.5398
December 1593.8999 1541.5030 1571.4110