2013 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1560.1744 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1343.9384 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1445.4440 UGX

2013 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 1560.1744. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 1343.9384.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 216.2361 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1546.5486 to the December average rate of 1352.6756, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 1560.1744 was up 0.61% compared to the 2012 peak of 1550.7325, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,800,872 UGX

2012 Average 7,207,766 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,719,692 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,081,180.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

1565.9359

1333.2882

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1500.3810, compared to 1390.5069 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 109.8740 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1500.3810

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1390.5069

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was June, with a trading range of 92.5601 UGX (High: 1489.8899 / Low: 1397.3298). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.9251 UGX (High: 1364.8635 / Low: 1343.9384).

June Spread (Volatile) ±92.5601

December Spread (Stable) ±20.9251

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 49.1012 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -49.1012

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 1546.5486) against the same month in 2012 (average: 1385.1863), the exchange rate shifted by +161.3622 (+11.65%).

2013 Avg (January) 1546.5486

2012 Avg (January) 1385.1863

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1560.1744	1538.1971	1546.5486
February	1554.5572	1521.6914	1537.7471
March	1534.9777	1479.1666	1507.7743
April	1498.5500	1450.2786	1479.5394
May	1493.0507	1466.3855	1478.7907
June	1489.8899	1397.3298	1451.8858
July	1416.3522	1391.7212	1402.7846
August	1410.5465	1382.7430	1392.7735
September	1424.6787	1356.8277	1398.2461
October	1424.6716	1388.8537	1405.7452
November	1415.8272	1358.1889	1390.8168
December	1364.8635	1343.9384	1352.6756