2017 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1659.2165 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1540.0025 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1596.6140 UGX

2017 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 8, valuing the pair at 1659.2165. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 6, dropping to 1540.0025.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 119.2139 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1570.9879 to the December average rate of 1585.5231, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.93% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 1659.2165 was up 2.47% compared to the 2016 peak of 1619.2196, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,296,082 UGX

2016 Average 7,588,732 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,700,013 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 596,069.65 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

1647.5503

1557.0392

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1576.7220, compared to 1616.5061 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 39.7841 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1576.7220

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1616.5061

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was July, with a trading range of 63.7895 UGX (High: 1647.3727 / Low: 1583.5832). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 19.6393 UGX (High: 1589.7988 / Low: 1570.1595).

July Spread (Volatile) ±63.7895

April Spread (Stable) ±19.6393

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 23.5787 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -23.5787

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2017: 1640.0077) against the same month in 2016 (average: 1493.0234), the exchange rate shifted by +146.9843 (+9.84%).

2017 Avg (August) 1640.0077

2016 Avg (August) 1493.0234

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1591.3755	1551.6757	1570.9879
February	1606.1208	1554.6910	1587.8369
March	1609.4710	1558.0263	1578.1075
April	1589.7988	1570.1595	1580.8817
May	1577.8243	1540.0025	1564.5818
June	1598.6295	1563.6413	1577.9362
July	1647.3727	1583.5832	1613.0566
August	1659.2165	1605.9177	1640.0077
September	1652.4167	1613.3407	1632.6224
October	1639.7854	1605.9232	1625.7027
November	1625.5397	1579.0427	1602.1240
December	1605.7100	1562.0819	1585.5231