2016 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1619.2196 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1471.9877 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1517.7414 UGX

2016 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 1619.2196. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 25, dropping to 1471.9877.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 147.2319 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1527.3825 to the December average rate of 1581.0402, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 1619.2196 was down 4.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 1698.4518, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,096,098 UGX

2015 Average 7,624,090 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,359,938 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 736,159.53 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

1600.6225

1474.6651

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1501.5967, compared to 1533.8861 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 32.2894 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1501.5967

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1533.8861

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was December, with a trading range of 81.0821 UGX (High: 1619.2196 / Low: 1538.1375). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 20.8533 UGX (High: 1509.2286 / Low: 1488.3753).

December Spread (Volatile) ±81.0821

April Spread (Stable) ±20.8533

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 21.2953 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -21.2953

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 1581.0402) against the same month in 2015 (average: 1498.5062), the exchange rate shifted by +82.5340 (+5.51%).

2016 Avg (December) 1581.0402

2015 Avg (December) 1498.5062

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1555.5626	1512.3564	1527.3825
February	1541.4209	1472.6225	1506.0872
March	1508.5266	1474.1115	1491.9381
April	1509.2286	1488.3753	1499.5091
May	1500.2505	1473.9835	1485.1615
June	1536.3230	1472.5466	1499.5020
July	1508.6950	1471.9877	1492.0575
August	1504.9132	1483.4860	1493.0234
September	1514.0589	1493.1593	1503.3004
October	1564.8149	1501.4628	1543.7690
November	1612.4717	1533.7250	1590.1260
December	1619.2196	1538.1375	1581.0402