YEARLY HIGH
1624.9866 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1512.6856 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1576.5093 UGX

2023 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 1624.9866. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 1512.6856.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 112.3010 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1584.7840 to the December average rate of 1609.3327, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 1624.9866 was down 2.75% compared to the 2022 peak of 1670.8809, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,124,933 UGX
2022 Average 7,915,224 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,563,428 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 561,504.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

1615.5032
1541.4568
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1581.3213, compared to 1571.6973 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 9.6240 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1581.3213
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1571.6973

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 65.6768 UGX (High: 1578.3624 / Low: 1512.6856). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 21.2815 UGX (High: 1577.3687 / Low: 1556.0873).

August Spread (Volatile) ±65.6768
October Spread (Stable) ±21.2815

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 11.8210 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.8210

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 1609.3327) against the same month in 2022 (average: 1571.4110), the exchange rate shifted by +37.9217 (+2.41%).

2023 Avg (December) 1609.3327
2022 Avg (December) 1571.4110

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1595.8306 1573.2368 1584.7840
February 1608.2799 1559.0351 1577.5288
March 1611.6177 1560.2989 1584.4085
April 1614.4140 1580.4259 1590.5025
May 1593.6920 1565.4469 1579.7126
June 1586.6388 1547.4936 1570.9915
July 1576.4210 1531.9992 1559.1705
August 1578.3624 1512.6856 1547.6273
September 1577.6624 1550.7260 1563.6506
October 1577.3687 1556.0873 1565.3781
November 1618.9749 1566.2112 1585.0246
December 1624.9866 1598.1440 1609.3327