2015 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1698.4518 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1408.2632 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1524.3323 UGX

2015 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 24, valuing the pair at 1698.4518. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 1408.2632.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 290.1886 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1438.9847 to the December average rate of 1498.5062, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 1698.4518 was up 14.67% compared to the 2014 peak of 1481.1157, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,492,259 UGX

2014 Average 6,882,587 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 7,041,316 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,450,943.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

1685.4183

1406.4026

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1469.2991, compared to 1579.3656 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 110.0665 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1469.2991

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1579.3656

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 122.2546 UGX (High: 1643.3466 / Low: 1521.0920). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 14.7890 UGX (High: 1483.2895 / Low: 1468.5005).

July Spread (Volatile) ±122.2546

April Spread (Stable) ±14.7890

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 92.8531 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -92.8531

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 1662.1670) against the same month in 2014 (average: 1374.3376), the exchange rate shifted by +287.8294 (+20.94%).

2015 Avg (September) 1662.1670

2014 Avg (September) 1374.3376

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1461.1951	1408.2632	1438.9847
February	1451.5972	1411.2203	1429.6539
March	1500.3430	1426.5386	1460.9560
April	1483.2895	1468.5005	1477.5439
May	1508.9613	1474.3619	1483.8338
June	1582.7998	1471.4623	1524.8222
July	1643.3466	1521.0920	1549.5733
August	1634.1181	1543.5833	1593.9326
September	1698.4518	1614.0931	1662.1670
October	1650.1927	1597.7442	1632.4337
November	1607.2085	1492.3642	1539.5806
December	1525.1653	1468.3493	1498.5062