2014 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1481.1157 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1307.2961 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1376.0836 UGX

2014 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 1481.1157. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 9, dropping to 1307.2961.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 173.8196 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1343.1183 to the December average rate of 1408.8478, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 1481.1157 was down 5.07% compared to the 2013 peak of 1560.1744, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,405,578 UGX

2013 Average 7,224,266 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,536,480 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 869,097.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

1438.9660

1309.2529

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1359.8125, compared to 1392.3546 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 32.5420 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1359.8125

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1392.3546

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was July, with a trading range of 75.5551 UGX (High: 1481.1157 / Low: 1405.5605). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 25.4480 UGX (High: 1417.6346 / Low: 1392.1866).

July Spread (Volatile) ±75.5551

December Spread (Stable) ±25.4480

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 30.5203 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.5203

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 1428.1565) against the same month in 2013 (average: 1402.7846), the exchange rate shifted by +25.3719 (+1.81%).

2014 Avg (July) 1428.1565

2013 Avg (July) 1402.7846

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1368.6826	1316.7798	1343.1183
February	1356.0726	1307.2961	1320.0623
March	1400.7738	1346.7683	1364.5349
April	1394.8685	1349.2416	1379.5855
May	1386.5467	1354.2865	1365.0524
June	1410.4501	1358.8258	1386.5218
July	1481.1157	1405.5605	1428.1565
August	1430.4088	1384.8950	1404.8579
September	1413.5344	1351.7529	1374.3376
October	1378.7096	1349.9237	1364.3020
November	1404.8481	1347.9985	1373.6256
December	1417.6346	1392.1866	1408.8478