2012 TOP to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1550.7325 UGX

YEARLY LOW

1351.9472 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

1441.3464 UGX

2012 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 1550.7325. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 1351.9472.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 198.7854 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1385.1863 to the December average rate of 1536.4509, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 1550.7325 was down 10.44% compared to the 2011 peak of 1731.4306, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,753,663 UGX

2011 Average 7,221,520 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 6,759,736 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 993,926.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

1552.1083

1364.2195

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1418.1731, compared to 1464.5197 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 46.3467 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1418.1731

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1464.5197

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 106.6414 UGX (High: 1479.8628 / Low: 1373.2213). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 23.4324 UGX (High: 1399.9391 / Low: 1376.5067).

May Spread (Volatile) ±106.6414

June Spread (Stable) ±23.4324

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 58.0812 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -58.0812

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 1536.4509) against the same month in 2011 (average: 1412.1910), the exchange rate shifted by +124.2599 (+8.80%).

2012 Avg (December) 1536.4509

2011 Avg (December) 1412.1910

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1420.5961	1357.4109	1385.1863
February	1455.4380	1351.9472	1379.8769
March	1526.8619	1436.5956	1471.0846
April	1483.3367	1457.0391	1470.7555
May	1479.8628	1373.2213	1412.6743
June	1399.9391	1376.5067	1389.4608
July	1421.8820	1369.2607	1392.0918
August	1440.0046	1408.5535	1423.8044
September	1485.6311	1411.4514	1444.4285
October	1494.2930	1457.8027	1482.3532
November	1533.3648	1477.4164	1507.9897
December	1550.7325	1520.4730	1536.4509