YEARLY HIGH
1682.5176 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1561.7243 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1617.4665 UGX

2019 TOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the TOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 1, valuing the pair at 1682.5176. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 1561.7243.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 120.7932 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1633.7062 to the December average rate of 1597.7619, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 1682.5176 was down 1.39% compared to the 2018 peak of 1706.2711, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,412,588 UGX
2018 Average 8,198,098 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 7,808,622 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 603,966.14 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

1653.9314
1579.1165
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1636.9795, compared to 1597.9535 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 39.0260 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1636.9795
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1597.9535

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was April, with a trading range of 51.2234 UGX (High: 1682.5176 / Low: 1631.2942). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 15.5067 UGX (High: 1644.1556 / Low: 1628.6488).

April Spread (Volatile) ±51.2234
March Spread (Stable) ±15.5067

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 26.7561 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -26.7561

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2019: 1647.6968) against the same month in 2018 (average: 1662.3014), the exchange rate shifted by -14.6046 (-0.88%).

2019 Avg (April) 1647.6968
2018 Avg (April) 1662.3014

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1649.2963 1611.8015 1633.7062
February 1640.5388 1614.8676 1627.0733
March 1644.1556 1628.6488 1637.7329
April 1682.5176 1631.2942 1647.6968
May 1653.1593 1633.8824 1644.2070
June 1650.0313 1604.7350 1631.4608
July 1638.3996 1612.0282 1622.6334
August 1610.4932 1561.7243 1595.8773
September 1604.3160 1573.1771 1585.3511
October 1607.4898 1571.4567 1590.8636
November 1607.9748 1589.6285 1595.2335
December 1608.4341 1590.8712 1597.7619