YEARLY HIGH
306.8704 UGX
YEARLY LOW
174.0036 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
222.5833 UGX

2014 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 306.8704. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 174.0036.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 132.8668 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 299.6359 to the December average rate of 176.8393, the exchange rate registered a net change of -40.98% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 306.8704 was down 9.30% compared to the 2013 peak of 338.3270, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,534,352 UGX
2013 Average 1,586,156 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 870,018 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 664,334.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

311.9155
164.5596
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 245.7183, compared to 199.4483 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 46.2700 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 245.7183
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 199.4483

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was March, with a trading range of 45.7401 UGX (High: 273.4164 / Low: 227.6764). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.1255 UGX (High: 209.0261 / Low: 203.9005).

March Spread (Volatile) ±45.7401
October Spread (Stable) ±5.1255

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 43.1854 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -43.1854

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2014: 299.6359) against the same month in 2013 (average: 331.2653), the exchange rate shifted by -31.6294 (-9.55%).

2014 Avg (January) 299.6359
2013 Avg (January) 331.2653

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 306.8704 288.2762 299.6359
February 292.0900 248.4234 278.0896
March 273.4164 227.6764 253.5660
April 226.1953 195.1253 210.3806
May 219.0951 212.2293 214.9063
June 220.7746 213.9048 217.7315
July 228.0156 214.8404 223.2653
August 214.9253 189.1025 201.0007
September 209.7133 196.1218 202.5987
October 209.0261 203.9005 206.6195
November 208.4699 175.5730 186.3666
December 184.1113 174.0036 176.8393