YEARLY HIGH
90.5700 UGX
YEARLY LOW
82.3199 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
86.4192 UGX

2025 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 90.5700. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 82.3199.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.2501 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 87.5432 to the December average rate of 84.6577, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 90.5700 was down 12.31% compared to the 2024 peak of 103.2845, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 452,850 UGX
2024 Average 468,267 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 411,600 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 41,250.33 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

89.0987
82.6404
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 87.9474, compared to 84.8910 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.0564 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 87.9474
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 84.8910

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 4.2835 UGX (High: 87.0286 / Low: 82.7451). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5971 UGX (High: 86.1304 / Low: 85.5334).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.2835
July Spread (Stable) ±0.5971

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.7737 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7737

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 88.5606) against the same month in 2024 (average: 97.0119), the exchange rate shifted by -8.4514 (-8.71%).

2025 Avg (April) 88.5606
2024 Avg (April) 97.0119

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 88.2801 87.0230 87.5432
February 88.7162 87.9430 88.3761
March 89.0824 87.9486 88.4590
April 90.5700 87.6539 88.5606
May 88.1669 87.4754 87.9945
June 87.8489 86.0349 86.7512
July 86.1304 85.5334 85.8125
August 86.5348 85.6816 86.0312
September 85.6600 84.3041 84.9523
October 84.3221 82.3199 83.1786
November 87.0286 82.7451 84.7138
December 85.6631 83.6804 84.6577