YEARLY HIGH
183.4224 UGX
YEARLY LOW
100.1551 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
149.8688 UGX

2015 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 183.4224. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 27, dropping to 100.1551.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 83.2673 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 180.0050 to the December average rate of 143.3242, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.38% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 183.4224 was down 40.23% compared to the 2014 peak of 306.8704, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 917,112 UGX
2014 Average 1,111,639 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 500,776 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 416,336.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

185.7478
116.8339
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 142.8040, compared to 156.9336 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 14.1296 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 142.8040
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 156.9336

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was February, with a trading range of 78.2170 UGX (High: 178.3721 / Low: 100.1551). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.8501 UGX (High: 146.2388 / Low: 139.3887).

February Spread (Volatile) ±78.2170
December Spread (Stable) ±6.8501

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 57.4283 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -57.4283

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 180.0050) against the same month in 2014 (average: 299.6359), the exchange rate shifted by -119.6309 (-39.93%).

2015 Avg (January) 180.0050
2014 Avg (January) 299.6359

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 183.4224 175.1221 180.0050
February 178.3721 100.1551 122.5767
March 137.0200 106.0210 128.1167
April 143.1544 126.7395 132.6260
May 146.5633 137.2310 143.5277
June 156.7778 145.2974 149.9719
July 163.3698 148.1299 153.5787
August 171.4093 156.7943 163.4643
September 173.5989 164.5915 168.0748
October 174.8583 153.7111 166.3968
November 154.3752 139.6443 146.7631
December 146.2388 139.3887 143.3242