YEARLY HIGH
103.2845 UGX
YEARLY LOW
86.7246 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
93.6813 UGX

2024 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 29, valuing the pair at 103.2845. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 86.7246.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 16.5599 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 100.5246 to the December average rate of 87.7031, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 103.2845 was down 2.06% compared to the 2023 peak of 105.4519, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 516,422 UGX
2023 Average 506,008 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 433,623 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 82,799.29 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

103.3433
86.2812
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 98.0051, compared to 89.3574 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 8.6477 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 98.0051
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 89.3574

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was March, with a trading range of 4.1878 UGX (High: 103.0687 / Low: 98.8809). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6870 UGX (High: 89.2483 / Low: 88.5613).

March Spread (Volatile) ±4.1878
October Spread (Stable) ±0.6870

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 3.5905 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5905

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 101.9215) against the same month in 2023 (average: 100.1716), the exchange rate shifted by +1.7498 (+1.75%).

2024 Avg (February) 101.9215
2023 Avg (February) 100.1716

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 101.8914 99.1467 100.5246
February 103.2845 100.7640 101.9215
March 103.0687 98.8809 100.6025
April 99.3298 95.5957 97.0119
May 96.1955 93.9042 95.3115
June 94.9659 91.1420 92.6587
July 91.4046 88.7353 90.3493
August 90.9084 89.7516 90.3513
September 90.6337 89.1028 89.9265
October 89.2483 88.5613 88.9545
November 89.4941 88.2961 88.8600
December 88.7238 86.7246 87.7031