YEARLY HIGH
105.4519 UGX
YEARLY LOW
97.6120 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
101.2015 UGX

2023 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 23, valuing the pair at 105.4519. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 3, dropping to 97.6120.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.8400 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 100.4313 to the December average rate of 101.6876, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.25% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 105.4519 was down 18.84% compared to the 2022 peak of 129.9369, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 527,260 UGX
2022 Average 571,461 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 488,060 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39,199.86 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

105.0974
98.8502
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 100.8328, compared to 101.5702 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7374 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 100.8328
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.5702

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was December, with a trading range of 5.2438 UGX (High: 104.2771 / Low: 99.0333). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3517 UGX (High: 102.0517 / Low: 100.7000).

December Spread (Volatile) ±5.2438
September Spread (Stable) ±1.3517

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 2.8892 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.8892

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 104.5768) against the same month in 2022 (average: 101.8709), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7058 (+2.66%).

2023 Avg (November) 104.5768
2022 Avg (November) 101.8709

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 101.4905 99.5092 100.4313
February 101.3540 99.3714 100.1716
March 102.6943 100.2372 101.4238
April 102.7787 100.9900 101.6634
May 102.3798 100.7044 100.9944
June 101.5650 99.2395 100.3123
July 100.2909 97.8800 99.3708
August 101.2153 97.6120 99.7044
September 102.0517 100.7000 101.2736
October 104.4145 101.8334 102.8080
November 105.4519 103.8408 104.5768
December 104.2771 99.0333 101.6876