YEARLY HIGH
156.3419 UGX
YEARLY LOW
128.3417 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
138.1836 UGX

2020 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 156.3419. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 128.3417.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 28.0002 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 152.2295 to the December average rate of 130.1248, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.52% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 156.3419 was down 0.90% compared to the 2019 peak of 157.7659, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 781,710 UGX
2019 Average 719,218 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 641,709 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 140,001.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

154.4400
127.9143
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 144.1127, compared to 132.2545 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 11.8582 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 144.1127
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 132.2545

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 15.5435 UGX (High: 150.7391 / Low: 135.1956). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.1093 UGX (High: 134.6911 / Low: 132.5819).

March Spread (Volatile) ±15.5435
August Spread (Stable) ±2.1093

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 7.3032 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.3032

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 152.2295) against the same month in 2019 (average: 132.8067), the exchange rate shifted by +19.4228 (+14.62%).

2020 Avg (January) 152.2295
2019 Avg (January) 132.8067

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 156.3419 146.7772 152.2295
February 151.2511 146.7091 149.5795
March 150.7391 135.1956 142.2763
April 141.0392 137.0637 139.1262
May 142.8122 140.4295 141.4517
June 141.6456 138.9215 140.0128
July 139.4009 132.8659 135.5560
August 134.6911 132.5819 133.6315
September 133.2561 130.7415 131.9466
October 132.4256 130.1199 131.2046
November 132.4317 129.7900 131.0632
December 132.0884 128.3417 130.1248