YEARLY HIGH
157.7659 UGX
YEARLY LOW
131.1307 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
143.7914 UGX

2019 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 27, valuing the pair at 157.7659. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 131.1307.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 26.6352 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 132.8067 to the December average rate of 155.9904, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 157.7659 was up 5.94% compared to the 2018 peak of 148.9241, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 788,829 UGX
2018 Average 685,788 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 655,653 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 133,175.95 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

158.3088
130.4883
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 138.2774, compared to 149.3053 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 11.0279 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 138.2774
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 149.3053

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was September, with a trading range of 7.2111 UGX (High: 152.9261 / Low: 145.7150). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.5274 UGX (High: 157.7659 / Low: 154.2385).

September Spread (Volatile) ±7.2111
December Spread (Stable) ±3.5274

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.6439 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.6439

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2019: 155.9904) against the same month in 2018 (average: 133.8718), the exchange rate shifted by +22.1186 (+16.52%).

2019 Avg (December) 155.9904
2018 Avg (December) 133.8718

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 135.2040 131.1307 132.8067
February 137.8072 132.3963 135.2573
March 140.9963 136.0351 137.9190
April 141.8715 136.7673 139.7050
May 144.2650 139.7581 142.8102
June 142.8803 138.7751 141.1664
July 147.4686 141.2127 143.8227
August 147.4259 143.6467 146.2046
September 152.9261 145.7150 148.8137
October 150.6577 147.0797 149.0057
November 154.4578 149.3646 151.9949
December 157.7659 154.2385 155.9904