2018 UAH to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

148.9241 UGX

YEARLY LOW

125.5163 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

137.1532 UGX

2018 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 26, valuing the pair at 148.9241. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 27, dropping to 125.5163.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 23.4079 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 127.8074 to the December average rate of 133.8718, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 148.9241 was up 4.21% compared to the 2017 peak of 142.9054, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 744,621 UGX

2017 Average 680,140 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 627,581 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 117,039.37 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

148.1333

125.9596

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 138.4654, compared to 135.8411 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.6243 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 138.4654

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 135.8411

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 10.6029 UGX (High: 148.2232 / Low: 137.6202). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0437 UGX (High: 135.7397 / Low: 132.6960).

July Spread (Volatile) ±10.6029

October Spread (Stable) ±3.0437

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 6.8574 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.8574

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 146.2855) against the same month in 2017 (average: 137.7061), the exchange rate shifted by +8.5794 (+6.23%).

2018 Avg (June) 146.2855

2017 Avg (June) 137.7061

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	130.7101	125.5163	127.8074
February	136.0671	130.3790	134.0749
March	140.6426	135.1865	138.9818
April	142.4641	139.3159	141.2894
May	144.5813	141.0025	142.3533
June	148.9241	144.1680	146.2855
July	148.2232	137.6202	142.4160
August	136.8750	133.1949	135.5585
September	136.2821	132.3365	134.8582
October	135.7397	132.6960	134.5032
November	135.1365	131.6118	133.8388
December	135.6651	132.0790	133.8718