2016 UAH to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

147.7760 UGX

YEARLY LOW

123.2192 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

133.8162 UGX

2016 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 147.7760. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 1, dropping to 123.2192.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 24.5568 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 141.7565 to the December average rate of 137.0397, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 147.7760 was down 19.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 183.4224, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 738,880 UGX

2015 Average 750,494 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 616,096 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 122,783.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

143.1207

126.7496

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 132.9644, compared to 134.6680 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.7036 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 132.9644

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 134.6680

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 12.3936 UGX (High: 135.7238 / Low: 123.3302). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2880 UGX (High: 137.1706 / Low: 134.8827).

February Spread (Volatile) ±12.3936

July Spread (Stable) ±2.2880

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 12.1884 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -12.1884

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 141.7565) against the same month in 2015 (average: 180.0050), the exchange rate shifted by -38.2485 (-21.25%).

2016 Avg (January) 141.7565

2015 Avg (January) 180.0050

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	147.7760	135.4436	141.7565
February	135.7238	123.3302	129.5680
March	132.3536	123.2192	128.1139
April	132.6486	128.8278	130.7594
May	134.8373	130.3062	132.5885
June	137.1616	133.7526	135.0003
July	137.1706	134.8827	136.1450
August	136.3004	129.3332	134.1612
September	131.1910	126.2514	128.8434
October	135.9113	130.6813	133.3949
November	141.9425	135.5175	138.4237
December	141.5990	133.0269	137.0397