YEARLY HIGH
86.4124 UGX
YEARLY LOW
79.9371 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
83.8281 UGX

2026 UAH to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the UAH to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 86.4124. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 79.9371.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.4754 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 83.0186 to the December average rate of 83.9029, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.07% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 86.4124 was down 4.59% compared to the 2025 peak of 90.5700, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UAH based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 432,062 UGX
2025 Average 432,025 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 399,685 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,376.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

85.4165
82.3993
JanuMarcMayJuly

UAH to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 83.9807, compared to 83.3701 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6106 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 83.9807
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 83.3701

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 5.6395 UGX (High: 85.5766 / Low: 79.9371). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3004 UGX (High: 85.3374 / Low: 85.0370).

January Spread (Volatile) ±5.6395
May Spread (Stable) ±0.3004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.1252 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.1252

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2026: 84.9268) against the same month in 2025 (average: 88.5606), the exchange rate shifted by -3.6338 (-4.10%).

2026 Avg (April) 84.9268
2025 Avg (April) 88.5606

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 85.5766 79.9371 83.0186
February 83.6140 81.6874 82.6507
March 86.2841 83.6138 85.0831
April 86.4124 83.8830 84.9268
May 85.3374 85.0370 85.1651
June 85.1124 81.0525 83.0399
July 84.1150 81.7650 82.8374
August 84.1312 83.5750 83.9029