2011 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0053 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0040 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0047 MDL

2011 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.0053. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 29, dropping to 0.0040.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0013 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0052 to the December average rate of 0.0048, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0053 was down 19.59% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0066, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26 MDL

2010 Average 28 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 20 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6.57 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0053

0.0040

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0050, compared to 0.0044 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0050

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0044

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0005 MDL (High: 0.0049 / Low: 0.0044). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MDL (High: 0.0051 / Low: 0.0049).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0005

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0052) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0064), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0012 (-18.43%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0052

2010 Avg (January) 0.0064

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0053	0.0051	0.0052
February	0.0052	0.0050	0.0051
March	0.0051	0.0049	0.0050
April	0.0050	0.0048	0.0049
May	0.0050	0.0048	0.0048
June	0.0049	0.0044	0.0047
July	0.0045	0.0044	0.0044
August	0.0044	0.0040	0.0041
September	0.0042	0.0040	0.0041
October	0.0045	0.0041	0.0042
November	0.0047	0.0044	0.0045
December	0.0050	0.0046	0.0048