YEARLY HIGH
0.0051 MDL
YEARLY LOW
0.0046 MDL
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0048 MDL

2025 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 19, valuing the pair at 0.0051. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0046.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0005 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0050 to the December average rate of 0.0047, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.25% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.0051 was up 1.71% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.0050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26 MDL
2024 Average 24 MDL
Yearly Trough Low 23 MDL
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.64 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.0051
0.0047
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0049, compared to 0.0047 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0049
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0047

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 0.0003 MDL (High: 0.0049 / Low: 0.0046). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MDL (High: 0.0051 / Low: 0.0050).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 0.0050) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.0046), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0004 (+8.61%).

2025 Avg (January) 0.0050
2024 Avg (January) 0.0046

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0051 0.0050 0.0050
February 0.0051 0.0050 0.0051
March 0.0051 0.0048 0.0049
April 0.0049 0.0046 0.0048
May 0.0048 0.0047 0.0047
June 0.0048 0.0047 0.0047
July 0.0048 0.0046 0.0047
August 0.0048 0.0046 0.0047
September 0.0048 0.0047 0.0047
October 0.0050 0.0048 0.0049
November 0.0049 0.0046 0.0048
December 0.0048 0.0046 0.0047