2017 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0056 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0047 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0051 MDL

2017 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 23, valuing the pair at 0.0056. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 0.0047.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0009 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0055 to the December average rate of 0.0047, the exchange rate registered a net change of -14.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.0056 was down 6.31% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.0060, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28 MDL

2016 Average 29 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 23 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 4.54 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.0056

0.0047

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0053, compared to 0.0049 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0053

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0049

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was May, with a trading range of 0.0002 MDL (High: 0.0053 / Low: 0.0050). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MDL (High: 0.0056 / Low: 0.0055).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0002

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 0.0055) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.0059), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0004 (-5.95%).

2017 Avg (January) 0.0055

2016 Avg (January) 0.0059

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0056	0.0055	0.0055
February	0.0056	0.0055	0.0056
March	0.0056	0.0053	0.0055
April	0.0054	0.0053	0.0053
May	0.0053	0.0050	0.0051
June	0.0051	0.0050	0.0051
July	0.0051	0.0050	0.0050
August	0.0050	0.0049	0.0049
September	0.0049	0.0048	0.0049
October	0.0049	0.0047	0.0048
November	0.0049	0.0047	0.0048
December	0.0048	0.0047	0.0047