2012 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0052 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0045 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0048 MDL

2012 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 6, valuing the pair at 0.0052. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 0.0045.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0007 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0049 to the December average rate of 0.0046, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.83% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0052 was down 2.20% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0053, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26 MDL

2011 Average 23 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 23 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3.38 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0051

0.0045

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0048, compared to 0.0048 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0048

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0048

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 0.0004 MDL (High: 0.0052 / Low: 0.0048). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MDL (High: 0.0046 / Low: 0.0045).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.0004

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.0051) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0051), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0000 (-0.81%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.0051

2011 Avg (February) 0.0051

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0051	0.0047	0.0049
February	0.0052	0.0048	0.0051
March	0.0048	0.0046	0.0048
April	0.0048	0.0046	0.0047
May	0.0048	0.0046	0.0048
June	0.0050	0.0048	0.0049
July	0.0051	0.0049	0.0050
August	0.0051	0.0049	0.0050
September	0.0050	0.0049	0.0049
October	0.0048	0.0047	0.0047
November	0.0048	0.0046	0.0047
December	0.0046	0.0045	0.0046