2015 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0066 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0052 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0058 MDL

2015 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 21, valuing the pair at 0.0066. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 31, dropping to 0.0052.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0014 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0058 to the December average rate of 0.0059, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0066 was up 16.21% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0057, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 33 MDL

2014 Average 27 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 26 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6.96 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0066

0.0052

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0061, compared to 0.0056 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0061

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0056

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was January, with a trading range of 0.0008 MDL (High: 0.0063 / Low: 0.0055). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 MDL (High: 0.0061 / Low: 0.0059).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0008

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2015: 0.0065) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0055), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0010 (+18.27%).

2015 Avg (February) 0.0065

2014 Avg (February) 0.0055

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0063	0.0055	0.0058
February	0.0066	0.0063	0.0065
March	0.0064	0.0060	0.0062
April	0.0062	0.0058	0.0060
May	0.0061	0.0059	0.0060
June	0.0059	0.0057	0.0058
July	0.0058	0.0054	0.0057
August	0.0055	0.0052	0.0054
September	0.0055	0.0053	0.0054
October	0.0057	0.0053	0.0055
November	0.0060	0.0056	0.0058
December	0.0060	0.0057	0.0059