2014 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0057 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0051 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0054 MDL

2014 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 23, valuing the pair at 0.0057. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 7, dropping to 0.0051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0005 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0053 to the December average rate of 0.0056, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.83% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0057 was up 9.05% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0052, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 28 MDL

2013 Average 24 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 26 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.73 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0056

0.0052

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0054, compared to 0.0054 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0054

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0054

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.0003 MDL (High: 0.0054 / Low: 0.0051). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MDL (High: 0.0054 / Low: 0.0054).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 0.0056) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0051), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0004 (+8.35%).

2014 Avg (December) 0.0056

2013 Avg (December) 0.0051

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0054	0.0051	0.0053
February	0.0055	0.0054	0.0055
March	0.0054	0.0052	0.0053
April	0.0054	0.0052	0.0053
May	0.0054	0.0053	0.0054
June	0.0054	0.0054	0.0054
July	0.0054	0.0053	0.0053
August	0.0054	0.0052	0.0053
September	0.0055	0.0054	0.0055
October	0.0056	0.0054	0.0055
November	0.0055	0.0054	0.0055
December	0.0057	0.0054	0.0056