2018 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0047 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0043 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0045 MDL

2018 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.0047. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 1, dropping to 0.0043.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0004 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0047 to the December average rate of 0.0046, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0047 was down 15.99% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0056, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 24 MDL

2017 Average 26 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 22 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1.94 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0047

0.0044

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0045, compared to 0.0045 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0000 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0045

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0045

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0002 MDL (High: 0.0045 / Low: 0.0043). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MDL (High: 0.0045 / Low: 0.0044).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0002

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0047) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0055), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0009 (-16.08%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0047

2017 Avg (January) 0.0055

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0047	0.0046	0.0047
February	0.0046	0.0045	0.0046
March	0.0046	0.0045	0.0045
April	0.0045	0.0044	0.0044
May	0.0045	0.0044	0.0045
June	0.0045	0.0043	0.0044
July	0.0045	0.0043	0.0044
August	0.0045	0.0044	0.0045
September	0.0045	0.0044	0.0044
October	0.0046	0.0044	0.0045
November	0.0046	0.0045	0.0046
December	0.0047	0.0046	0.0046