2021 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0051 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0046 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0049 MDL

2021 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 25, valuing the pair at 0.0051. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 0.0046.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0005 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0047 to the December average rate of 0.0050, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0051 was up 3.08% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0050, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 26 MDL

2020 Average 23 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 23 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.42 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0051

0.0046

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0049, compared to 0.0050 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0049

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0050

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0002 MDL (High: 0.0050 / Low: 0.0048). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MDL (High: 0.0050 / Low: 0.0049).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0002

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2021: 0.0051) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0046), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0005 (+10.69%).

2021 Avg (July) 0.0051

2020 Avg (July) 0.0046

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0047	0.0046	0.0047
February	0.0048	0.0047	0.0047
March	0.0049	0.0048	0.0048
April	0.0050	0.0049	0.0049
May	0.0050	0.0049	0.0050
June	0.0051	0.0049	0.0050
July	0.0051	0.0050	0.0051
August	0.0050	0.0049	0.0050
September	0.0050	0.0049	0.0050
October	0.0050	0.0048	0.0049
November	0.0050	0.0049	0.0050
December	0.0050	0.0049	0.0050