2016 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0060 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0055 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0058 MDL

2016 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 1, valuing the pair at 0.0060. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 0.0055.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0005 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0059 to the December average rate of 0.0056, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.0060 was down 9.43% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.0066, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 30 MDL

2015 Average 29 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 27 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.49 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.0060

0.0056

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0059, compared to 0.0058 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0059

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0058

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0002 MDL (High: 0.0058 / Low: 0.0056). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 MDL (High: 0.0059 / Low: 0.0058).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0002

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2016: 0.0059) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.0062), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0004 (-5.72%).

2016 Avg (March) 0.0059

2015 Avg (March) 0.0062

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0060	0.0058	0.0059
February	0.0060	0.0058	0.0059
March	0.0060	0.0058	0.0059
April	0.0059	0.0058	0.0059
May	0.0060	0.0059	0.0059
June	0.0059	0.0058	0.0059
July	0.0059	0.0058	0.0059
August	0.0059	0.0058	0.0058
September	0.0059	0.0058	0.0058
October	0.0058	0.0057	0.0058
November	0.0058	0.0056	0.0056
December	0.0057	0.0055	0.0056