2020 UGX to MDL Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0050 MDL

YEARLY LOW

0.0045 MDL

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0046 MDL

2020 UGX to MDL Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to MDL exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 6, valuing the pair at 0.0050. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 0.0045.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0005 MDL. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0047 to the December average rate of 0.0047, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.68% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0050 was up 0.17% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0049, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 25 MDL

2019 Average 24 MDL

Yearly Trough Low 22 MDL

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2.48 MDL purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0048

0.0045

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to MDL Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0047, compared to 0.0046 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0047

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0046

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 0.0003 MDL (High: 0.0050 / Low: 0.0047). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0001 MDL (High: 0.0046 / Low: 0.0045).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0003

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0001

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0001 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0001

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2020: 0.0048) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0047), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0001 (+1.53%).

2020 Avg (April) 0.0048

2019 Avg (April) 0.0047

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0048	0.0046	0.0047
February	0.0048	0.0047	0.0048
March	0.0048	0.0046	0.0047
April	0.0050	0.0047	0.0048
May	0.0047	0.0046	0.0047
June	0.0046	0.0045	0.0046
July	0.0046	0.0045	0.0046
August	0.0045	0.0045	0.0045
September	0.0046	0.0045	0.0045
October	0.0046	0.0045	0.0045
November	0.0047	0.0046	0.0046
December	0.0047	0.0046	0.0047