2010 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0928 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0839 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0885 KES

2010 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2010

During 2010, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 0.0928. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 17, dropping to 0.0839.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0088 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0848 to the December average rate of 0.0895, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 464 KES

Yearly Average 442 KES

Yearly Trough Low 420 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 44.12 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2010.

0.0923

0.0841

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0867, compared to 0.0902 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0867

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0902

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2010 was May, with a trading range of 0.0064 KES (High: 0.0909 / Low: 0.0845). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 KES (High: 0.0897 / Low: 0.0883).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0064

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0020 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0020

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Historical data for the previous year (2009) is currently unavailable. Strongest month average for June 2010 is 0.0912.

2010 Avg (June) 0.0912

Baseline Avg N/A

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0855	0.0841	0.0848
February	0.0859	0.0844	0.0852
March	0.0867	0.0839	0.0848
April	0.0886	0.0854	0.0869
May	0.0909	0.0845	0.0874
June	0.0928	0.0889	0.0912
July	0.0919	0.0902	0.0912
August	0.0914	0.0881	0.0903
September	0.0926	0.0906	0.0916
October	0.0907	0.0884	0.0896
November	0.0897	0.0883	0.0890
December	0.0912	0.0879	0.0895