2018 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0659 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0606 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0626 KES

2018 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 0.0659. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 26, dropping to 0.0606.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0053 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0642 to the December average rate of 0.0629, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0659 was down 26.94% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0903, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 330 KES

2017 Average 358 KES

Yearly Trough Low 303 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26.47 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0645

0.0614

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0628, compared to 0.0623 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0628

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0623

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0035 KES (High: 0.0642 / Low: 0.0606). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 KES (High: 0.0627 / Low: 0.0624).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0035

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0013 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0013

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0642) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0855), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0213 (-24.87%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0642

2017 Avg (January) 0.0855

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0659	0.0635	0.0642
February	0.0636	0.0623	0.0630
March	0.0628	0.0623	0.0626
April	0.0629	0.0618	0.0623
May	0.0629	0.0620	0.0623
June	0.0627	0.0624	0.0626
July	0.0642	0.0606	0.0621
August	0.0624	0.0613	0.0619
September	0.0621	0.0613	0.0617
October	0.0629	0.0615	0.0621
November	0.0639	0.0622	0.0630
December	0.0637	0.0620	0.0629