2011 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1172 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0885 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0973 KES

2011 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 0.1172. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 0.0885.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0288 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0893 to the December average rate of 0.0956, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.00% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.1172 was up 26.37% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0928, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 586 KES

2010 Average 442 KES

Yearly Trough Low 442 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 143.81 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.1124

0.0869

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0923, compared to 0.1023 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0099 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0923

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1023

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was September, with a trading range of 0.0098 KES (High: 0.1118 / Low: 0.1020). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0014 KES (High: 0.0928 / Low: 0.0914).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.0098

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0014

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0079 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0079

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 0.1102) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0896), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0206 (+23.00%).

2011 Avg (October) 0.1102

2010 Avg (October) 0.0896

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0909	0.0885	0.0893
February	0.0900	0.0885	0.0891
March	0.0940	0.0902	0.0923
April	0.0928	0.0914	0.0920
May	0.0952	0.0912	0.0934
June	0.1011	0.0939	0.0980
July	0.1001	0.0975	0.0986
August	0.1046	0.1001	0.1019
September	0.1118	0.1020	0.1051
October	0.1172	0.1079	0.1102
November	0.1075	0.0985	0.1023
December	0.0995	0.0918	0.0956