2013 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0956 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0904 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0934 KES

2013 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 12, valuing the pair at 0.0956. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 0.0904.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0053 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0943 to the December average rate of 0.0935, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.88% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.0956 was down 0.41% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.0960, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 478 KES

2012 Average 459 KES

Yearly Trough Low 452 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26.38 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.0954

0.0910

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0929, compared to 0.0938 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0008 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0929

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0938

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 0.0025 KES (High: 0.0944 / Low: 0.0919). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 KES (High: 0.0956 / Low: 0.0945).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0025

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0024 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0024

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2013: 0.0950) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.0910), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0040 (+4.45%).

2013 Avg (August) 0.0950

2012 Avg (August) 0.0910

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0953	0.0933	0.0943
February	0.0954	0.0938	0.0951
March	0.0944	0.0919	0.0927
April	0.0928	0.0904	0.0915
May	0.0926	0.0904	0.0913
June	0.0937	0.0920	0.0928
July	0.0951	0.0931	0.0943
August	0.0956	0.0945	0.0950
September	0.0949	0.0937	0.0944
October	0.0939	0.0916	0.0922
November	0.0945	0.0920	0.0932
December	0.0941	0.0926	0.0935