2012 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0960 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0892 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0918 KES

2012 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 0.0960. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 12, dropping to 0.0892.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0068 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0945 to the December average rate of 0.0929, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0960 was down 18.08% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1172, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 480 KES

2011 Average 487 KES

Yearly Trough Low 446 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 34.18 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0949

0.0901

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0918, compared to 0.0919 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0001 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0918

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0919

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was June, with a trading range of 0.0045 KES (High: 0.0943 / Low: 0.0898). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 KES (High: 0.0923 / Low: 0.0918).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0045

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0037 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0037

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 0.0945) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0893), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0051 (+5.76%).

2012 Avg (January) 0.0945

2011 Avg (January) 0.0893

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0960	0.0919	0.0945
February	0.0919	0.0893	0.0907
March	0.0915	0.0892	0.0905
April	0.0913	0.0898	0.0908
May	0.0948	0.0908	0.0920
June	0.0943	0.0898	0.0925
July	0.0921	0.0909	0.0913
August	0.0914	0.0905	0.0910
September	0.0926	0.0909	0.0916
October	0.0923	0.0918	0.0920
November	0.0928	0.0920	0.0924
December	0.0936	0.0919	0.0929