2016 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1110 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0857 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1053 KES

2016 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 11, valuing the pair at 0.1110. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 0.0857.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0253 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1104 to the December average rate of 0.0877, the exchange rate registered a net change of -20.56% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 0.1110 was down 2.99% compared to the 2015 peak of 0.1144, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 555 KES

2015 Average 530 KES

Yearly Trough Low 429 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 126.50 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

0.1127

0.0855

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1092, compared to 0.1015 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0077 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1092

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1015

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.0220 KES (High: 0.1110 / Low: 0.0890). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 KES (High: 0.1094 / Low: 0.1088).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0220

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0152 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0152

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 0.1077) against the same month in 2015 (average: 0.1057), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0020 (+1.87%).

2016 Avg (June) 0.1077

2015 Avg (June) 0.1057

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1109	0.1100	0.1104
February	0.1103	0.1094	0.1098
March	0.1101	0.1088	0.1095
April	0.1094	0.1088	0.1091
May	0.1089	0.1083	0.1086
June	0.1110	0.1053	0.1077
July	0.1073	0.1036	0.1065
August	0.1046	0.1032	0.1038
September	0.1043	0.1031	0.1037
October	0.1058	0.1033	0.1043
November	0.1110	0.0890	0.1029
December	0.0901	0.0857	0.0877