2015 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1144 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0979 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1060 KES

2015 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 0.1144. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 0.0979.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0166 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0987 to the December average rate of 0.1103, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.1144 was up 16.60% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0981, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 572 KES

2014 Average 476 KES

Yearly Trough Low 489 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 82.85 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.1151

0.0972

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1012, compared to 0.1108 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0097 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1012

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1108

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0040 KES (High: 0.1110 / Low: 0.1070). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0011 KES (High: 0.0994 / Low: 0.0983).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0040

February Spread (Stable) ±0.0011

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0028 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0028

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 0.1136) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0962), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0174 (+18.12%).

2015 Avg (September) 0.1136

2014 Avg (September) 0.0962

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0997	0.0979	0.0987
February	0.0994	0.0983	0.0988
March	0.1001	0.0982	0.0991
April	0.1024	0.0994	0.1007
May	0.1063	0.1024	0.1042
June	0.1073	0.1044	0.1057
July	0.1110	0.1070	0.1094
August	0.1125	0.1091	0.1107
September	0.1144	0.1123	0.1136
October	0.1125	0.1095	0.1108
November	0.1109	0.1097	0.1102
December	0.1113	0.1099	0.1103