2017 CDF to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0903 KES

YEARLY LOW

0.0629 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0716 KES

2017 CDF to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the CDF to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 0.0903. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 0.0629.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0274 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0855 to the December average rate of 0.0653, the exchange rate registered a net change of -23.59% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.0903 was down 18.70% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.1110, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 451 KES

2016 Average 527 KES

Yearly Trough Low 314 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 136.92 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.0876

0.0630

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0772, compared to 0.0659 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0114 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0772

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0659

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.0081 KES (High: 0.0903 / Low: 0.0821). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0009 KES (High: 0.0664 / Low: 0.0655).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0081

October Spread (Stable) ±0.0009

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2017. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0043 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0043

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 0.0855) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.1104), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0249 (-22.56%).

2017 Avg (January) 0.0855

2016 Avg (January) 0.1104

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0903	0.0821	0.0855
February	0.0836	0.0785	0.0814
March	0.0786	0.0761	0.0773
April	0.0764	0.0735	0.0751
May	0.0736	0.0723	0.0730
June	0.0724	0.0694	0.0712
July	0.0698	0.0639	0.0668
August	0.0671	0.0629	0.0650
September	0.0666	0.0657	0.0661
October	0.0664	0.0655	0.0660
November	0.0664	0.0654	0.0659
December	0.0661	0.0645	0.0653