2012 DJF to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.1887 RUB

YEARLY LOW

0.1616 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.1743 RUB

2012 DJF to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the DJF to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 0.1887. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 26, dropping to 0.1616.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0271 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.1759 to the December average rate of 0.1728, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.1887 was up 2.22% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.1846, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 943 RUB

2011 Average 827 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 808 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 135.32 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.1859

0.1623

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.1714, compared to 0.1771 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0057 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.1714

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.1771

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.0227 RUB (High: 0.1865 / Low: 0.1638). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0029 RUB (High: 0.1660 / Low: 0.1631).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0227

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0029

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0087 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0087

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 0.1839) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.1574), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0265 (+16.84%).

2012 Avg (June) 0.1839

2011 Avg (June) 0.1574

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.1806	0.1689	0.1759
February	0.1699	0.1626	0.1672
March	0.1665	0.1616	0.1642
April	0.1660	0.1631	0.1648
May	0.1865	0.1638	0.1725
June	0.1887	0.1799	0.1839
July	0.1855	0.1792	0.1825
August	0.1821	0.1771	0.1795
September	0.1817	0.1711	0.1764
October	0.1767	0.1725	0.1749
November	0.1790	0.1732	0.1765
December	0.1742	0.1706	0.1728